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Igor Chudov's avatar

Love your article.

The logic of CDC is: you either take the vax, OR you have Covid, so let's compare myocarditis risks.

This is completely misleading as, we all know, people have vax and THEN Covid, then another covid, etc.

The risks of myocarditis from vax and Covid are cumulative and it is possible that vax enhances eventual risk of myocarditis from subsequent Covid infections. Vaccinated people cannot acquire true natural immunity, as evidenced by their inability to produce nucleocapsid antibodies. If so, vax gives you myocarditis, does not prevent covid, and ensures endless infections, that would eventually produce exponentially greater myocarditis risk than a kid having Covid while unvaxed.

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Tom Hogan's avatar

“Covid is more likely to cause myocarditis than a Pfizer vaccine even in teenage boys”

If the vaccine were sterilizing, then this would be a valid comparison (covid v. vaccine). Since the vaccine is non-sterilizing, this comparison is invalid.

Back to logic 101 to explain. Covid and vaccination have population overlap. Put another way, they are non-exclusive. If this were a Venn diagram, we would see a shaded area for the overlap. I can show the impact in an hypothetical example.

Let's suppose that we five cases of myocarditis in those who were vaccinated, then later contracted covid, followed by myocarditis. Let's also suppose that we have one case of myocarditis in those where are unvaccinated, but later contracted covid, followed by myocarditis.

If we compare myocarditis in the vaccinated v. myocarditis from covid, we see a risk of 0.87 (5/6), which shows that vaccination supposedly reduces risk of myocarditis. However, if instead we compare myocarditis in the vaccinated who got covid with myocarditis in the unvaccinated who got covid, we see an increase in risk of 500% for vaccination.

[Edited to discuss further]

But this is a hypothetical example and the impact will vary depending on the degree of overlap. If the overlap is tiny and the risk from myocarditis is huge and risk occurs mostly in the unvaccinated group, then the major factor is covid and vaccination wouldn't exacerbate the risk. So let's look at some actual data.

Dr. Clare Craig, a UK pathologist, looked at the data from a VA study (elderly men, mostly) of myocarditis following covid. She found a risk of about 1 /2800 in the unvaccinated group and a risk of about 1/1700 in the vaccinated group. So the degree of overlap is significant in elderly men. We don't know what it is in young men, but this finding of frequent occurrence in elderly men should raise a serious question of concern, since we expect the risk to be higher in young men than in elderly men.

So, the unanswered questions are 1) Do mRNA vaccines exacerbate the risk of myocarditis from covid in young men and 2) if mRNA vaccines exacerbate the risk, by how much is the risk exacerbated?

https://dailysceptic.org/archive/heart-problems-after-covid-are-much-worse-for-the-vaccinated-nature-study-shows-but-its-hidden-in-the-appendix/

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